@InProceedings{LimaPereMart:2015:FoShSo,
author = "Lima, Francisco Jos{\'e} Lopes de and Pereira, Enio Bueno and
Martins, Fernando Ramos",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de
Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "Forecast of short-term solar irradiation in Brazil using numerical
models and statistical post-processing",
booktitle = "Proceedings...",
year = "2015",
pages = "1",
organization = "EuroSun 2014.",
note = "{Setores de Atividade: Pesquisa e desenvolvimento
cient{\'{\i}}fico.}",
keywords = "Solar forecasting, Solar Energy, Solar Radiation.",
abstract = "This work aims at establishing a methodology to get reliable solar
irradiation forecasts for the Brazilian Northeastern region by
using WRF model together with statistical methods for
post-processing data. The key issue is concerning how to deal with
the diversity of typical climate features occurring in the region
presenting the largest solar energy resource in Brazil. The solar
irradiance forecasts for 24h in advance were obtained using the
WRF model. In order to reduce uncertainties, cluster analysis
technique was employed to find out areas presenting similar
climate features. Comparison analysis between WRF model outputs
and observational data were performed to evaluate the model skill
in forecasting the surface solar irradiation. After all,
post-processing of WRF outputs were performed using artificial
neural networks and multiple regression methods in order to refine
short-term solar irradiation forecasts.",
conference-location = "Aix-les-Bains",
conference-year = "2014",
doi = "10.18086/eurosun.2014.09.01",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.18086/eurosun.2014.09.01",
isbn = "9783981465938",
label = "lattes: 0638551133292550 2 LimaPereMart:2015:FoShSo",
language = "en",
targetfile = "1_lima.pdf",
url = "http://proceedings.ises.org/",
urlaccessdate = "09 maio 2024"
}